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icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga 67.3%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 28.6%

Francis James Allison Oyague 2.6%

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 1.5%

Polymarket

$147,742 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 67.3%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 28.6%

Francis James Allison Oyague 2.6%

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 1.5%

Polymarket

$147,742 Vol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$10,807 Vol.

67%

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

$50,994 Vol.

29%

icon for Francis James Allison Oyague

Francis James Allison Oyague

$18,951 Vol.

3%

icon for Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

$5,136 Vol.

2%

icon for Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

$9,441 Vol.

1%

icon for Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

$3,903 Vol.

1%

icon for Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

$3,817 Vol.

1%

icon for Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

$9,565 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

$2,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yehude Simón Munaro

Yehude Simón Munaro

$5,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

$1,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

$1,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

$1,799 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

$2,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

$1,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

$2,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

$1,898 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

$2,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

$2,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Segundo Valdez Zavala

Segundo Valdez Zavala

$1,769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

$2,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

$3,416 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).**Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular leads the Lima mayoral race at 67.7% implied probability, ahead of Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú) at 28.1% and a long tail of other candidates below 3%.** The October 4, 2026, election features a fragmented field of over 20 contenders, which benefits frontrunners by splitting opposition votes. López Aliaga’s positioning stems from his prior mayoral tenure (2023–2025), strong party infrastructure in the capital, and recent JNE confirmation of his first-regidor candidacy despite earlier eligibility challenges tied to his proclaimed Senate seat. He has consistently topped recent polls (IEP, CPI, Datum) with 20–30% support, well ahead of Bruce (12–17%) and others such as Francis Allison or Daniel Urresti. Bruce remains the clearest alternative but trails in most surveys, particularly in higher-income segments. Traders appear to price in López Aliaga’s name recognition and organizational edge while acknowledging residual uncertainty from undecided voters (often 40%+ in surveys) and the short campaign window. Legal clearance in early September reduced downside risk for his ticket, supporting the wide gap in market pricing. No major late-breaking scandals or shifts have altered the hierarchy in the past month.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$147,742
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).**Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular leads the Lima mayoral race at 67.7% implied probability, ahead of Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú) at 28.1% and a long tail of other candidates below 3%.** The October 4, 2026, election features a fragmented field of over 20 contenders, which benefits frontrunners by splitting opposition votes. López Aliaga’s positioning stems from his prior mayoral tenure (2023–2025), strong party infrastructure in the capital, and recent JNE confirmation of his first-regidor candidacy despite earlier eligibility challenges tied to his proclaimed Senate seat. He has consistently topped recent polls (IEP, CPI, Datum) with 20–30% support, well ahead of Bruce (12–17%) and others such as Francis Allison or Daniel Urresti. Bruce remains the clearest alternative but trails in most surveys, particularly in higher-income segments. Traders appear to price in López Aliaga’s name recognition and organizational edge while acknowledging residual uncertainty from undecided voters (often 40%+ in surveys) and the short campaign window. Legal clearance in early September reduced downside risk for his ticket, supporting the wide gap in market pricing. No major late-breaking scandals or shifts have altered the hierarchy in the past month.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$147,742
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lima Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 23 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rafael López Aliaga" di 67%, diikuti oleh "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" di 29%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 67¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $147.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 24, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Lima Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 23 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Rafael López Aliaga" di 67%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" di 29%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.