Forecast models from sources including the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiative cooling with an expected minimum near 18°C for Beijing on September 21. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle in the mid-to-upper teens amid dry air masses and modest diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustered between 17–19°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the exact reading. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 16°C and 15°C outcomes alongside notable weight on 13°C or below, highlights uncertainty around official station measurements and any microscale cooling effects. Updated forecasts and final observational data from the Beijing station will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
13°C or below 92%
15°C 88%
16°C 56%
14°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
92%
14°C
18%
15°C
88%
16°C
56%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 92%
15°C 88%
16°C 56%
14°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
88%
16°C
$0 Vol.
56%
17°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiative cooling with an expected minimum near 18°C for Beijing on September 21. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle in the mid-to-upper teens amid dry air masses and modest diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustered between 17–19°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the exact reading. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 16°C and 15°C outcomes alongside notable weight on 13°C or below, highlights uncertainty around official station measurements and any microscale cooling effects. Updated forecasts and final observational data from the Beijing station will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$350Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiative cooling with an expected minimum near 18°C for Beijing on September 21. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle in the mid-to-upper teens amid dry air masses and modest diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustered between 17–19°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the exact reading. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 16°C and 15°C outcomes alongside notable weight on 13°C or below, highlights uncertainty around official station measurements and any microscale cooling effects. Updated forecasts and final observational data from the Beijing station will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$350Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiative cooling with an expected minimum near 18°C for Beijing on September 21. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle in the mid-to-upper teens amid dry air masses and modest diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustered between 17–19°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the exact reading. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 16°C and 15°C outcomes alongside notable weight on 13°C or below, highlights uncertainty around official station measurements and any microscale cooling effects. Updated forecasts and final observational data from the Beijing station will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan