Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C in Beijing on September 21 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud cover reducing insolation variability, while weak advection from the south limits cooler air intrusion. Late-September climatology typically yields highs near 26–28°C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge and drier boundary layer. Model spread between 30°C and 31°C arises from subtle differences in simulated mixing depth and urban heat island amplification at official stations, leaving trader-implied odds closely balanced amid this narrow uncertainty range. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
31°C 42%
30°C 37%
29°C 17%
32°C 7%
BARU
$10,343 Vol.
BARU
$10,343 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
37%
31°C
42%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 37%
29°C 17%
32°C 7%
BARU
$10,343 Vol.
BARU
$10,343 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
$421 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$610 Vol.
1%
28°C
$427 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,012 Vol.
17%
30°C
$558 Vol.
37%
31°C
$5,963 Vol.
42%
32°C
$346 Vol.
7%
33°C
$139 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C in Beijing on September 21 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud cover reducing insolation variability, while weak advection from the south limits cooler air intrusion. Late-September climatology typically yields highs near 26–28°C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge and drier boundary layer. Model spread between 30°C and 31°C arises from subtle differences in simulated mixing depth and urban heat island amplification at official stations, leaving trader-implied odds closely balanced amid this narrow uncertainty range. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,343Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C in Beijing on September 21 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud cover reducing insolation variability, while weak advection from the south limits cooler air intrusion. Late-September climatology typically yields highs near 26–28°C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge and drier boundary layer. Model spread between 30°C and 31°C arises from subtle differences in simulated mixing depth and urban heat island amplification at official stations, leaving trader-implied odds closely balanced amid this narrow uncertainty range. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,343Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles point to maximum temperatures of 30–31°C in Beijing on September 21 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud cover reducing insolation variability, while weak advection from the south limits cooler air intrusion. Late-September climatology typically yields highs near 26–28°C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge and drier boundary layer. Model spread between 30°C and 31°C arises from subtle differences in simulated mixing depth and urban heat island amplification at official stations, leaving trader-implied odds closely balanced amid this narrow uncertainty range. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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