Persistent southerly flow and a stationary frontal boundary over the Korean Peninsula have sustained high humidity and cloud cover across Busan, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures. Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C on August 28 amid widespread showers and tropical-night conditions, with dew points remaining above 25°C. These dynamics explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C, as traders weigh the balance between heavy rainfall potentially moderating daytime heat and the insulating effect of moisture that prevents sharper drops below 24°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in frontal position will be key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Busan on August 28?
25°C 49%
24°C 48%
26°C 47%
23°C 41%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
14%
23°C
41%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
47%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 48%
26°C 47%
23°C 41%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
14%
23°C
41%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
47%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and a stationary frontal boundary over the Korean Peninsula have sustained high humidity and cloud cover across Busan, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures. Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C on August 28 amid widespread showers and tropical-night conditions, with dew points remaining above 25°C. These dynamics explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C, as traders weigh the balance between heavy rainfall potentially moderating daytime heat and the insulating effect of moisture that prevents sharper drops below 24°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in frontal position will be key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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