Recent weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a daily minimum in Busan around 24–27°C on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling along the coastal region. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, support the market's elevated probability on 22°C or below (49%) as traders weigh potential cooling from heavier precipitation, while the 30% on 32°C or higher reflects low but nonzero odds of warmer advection if skies clear. Historical averages for the date (roughly 23–27°C lows) provide baseline context, with upcoming model runs and local observations likely to refine exact thresholds amid forecast uncertainty from variable steering patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Busan on August 29?
22°C or below 98%
32°C or higher 55%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
22°C or below
98%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
55%
22°C or below 98%
32°C or higher 55%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
22°C or below
98%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a daily minimum in Busan around 24–27°C on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling along the coastal region. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, support the market's elevated probability on 22°C or below (49%) as traders weigh potential cooling from heavier precipitation, while the 30% on 32°C or higher reflects low but nonzero odds of warmer advection if skies clear. Historical averages for the date (roughly 23–27°C lows) provide baseline context, with upcoming model runs and local observations likely to refine exact thresholds amid forecast uncertainty from variable steering patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan