**Forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C overnight into September 4 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, keeping radiative cooling modest amid residual influence from the subtropical high.** This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds, where 21°C and 22°C lead at 50.5% each. Limited overnight cloud cover and humidity near 50–70% introduce minor uncertainty in exact cooling rates, while western mountainous areas may see isolated showers that do not substantially alter urban basin temperatures. Historical September lows average near 21°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final official station readings later on September 4 will resolve the outcome as new model guidance arrives.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
20°C 96%
26°C 95%
19°C or below 94%
25°C 94%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
94%
20°C
96%
21°C
50%
22°C
51%
23°C
92%
24°C
93%
25°C
94%
26°C
95%
27°C
93%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
92%
20°C 96%
26°C 95%
19°C or below 94%
25°C 94%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
20°C
$0 Vol.
96%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
51%
23°C
$0 Vol.
92%
24°C
$0 Vol.
93%
25°C
$0 Vol.
94%
26°C
$0 Vol.
95%
27°C
$0 Vol.
93%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C overnight into September 4 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, keeping radiative cooling modest amid residual influence from the subtropical high.**
This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds, where 21°C and 22°C lead at 50.5% each. Limited overnight cloud cover and humidity near 50–70% introduce minor uncertainty in exact cooling rates, while western mountainous areas may see isolated showers that do not substantially alter urban basin temperatures. Historical September lows average near 21°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final official station readings later on September 4 will resolve the outcome as new model guidance arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C overnight into September 4 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, keeping radiative cooling modest amid residual influence from the subtropical high.**
This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds, where 21°C and 22°C lead at 50.5% each. Limited overnight cloud cover and humidity near 50–70% introduce minor uncertainty in exact cooling rates, while western mountainous areas may see isolated showers that do not substantially alter urban basin temperatures. Historical September lows average near 21°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final official station readings later on September 4 will resolve the outcome as new model guidance arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C overnight into September 4 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, keeping radiative cooling modest amid residual influence from the subtropical high.** This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds, where 21°C and 22°C lead at 50.5% each. Limited overnight cloud cover and humidity near 50–70% introduce minor uncertainty in exact cooling rates, while western mountainous areas may see isolated showers that do not substantially alter urban basin temperatures. Historical September lows average near 21°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final official station readings later on September 4 will resolve the outcome as new model guidance arrives.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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