**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory set the baseline for August 24 minimum temperatures at 27°C within a 27–31°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C.** A broad low-pressure trough and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Zitan are expected to sustain cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling while increasing humidity and wind speeds from the south-southwest. These factors create narrow uncertainty bands, as heavier rainfall could enhance evaporative cooling toward 26°C, whereas clearer intervals might hold the minimum near 28°C. Model consensus remains close given the short lead time, with traders weighting official guidance heavily against historical August minima near 26–27°C and the high probability of precipitation that day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
11%
25°C
15%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
21%
29°C
7%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
9%
24°C
$41 Vol.
11%
25°C
$93 Vol.
15%
26°C
$20 Vol.
27%
27°C
$27 Vol.
28%
28°C
$112 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$5 Vol.
15%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory set the baseline for August 24 minimum temperatures at 27°C within a 27–31°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C.** A broad low-pressure trough and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Zitan are expected to sustain cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling while increasing humidity and wind speeds from the south-southwest. These factors create narrow uncertainty bands, as heavier rainfall could enhance evaporative cooling toward 26°C, whereas clearer intervals might hold the minimum near 28°C. Model consensus remains close given the short lead time, with traders weighting official guidance heavily against historical August minima near 26–27°C and the high probability of precipitation that day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$317Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory set the baseline for August 24 minimum temperatures at 27°C within a 27–31°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C.** A broad low-pressure trough and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Zitan are expected to sustain cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling while increasing humidity and wind speeds from the south-southwest. These factors create narrow uncertainty bands, as heavier rainfall could enhance evaporative cooling toward 26°C, whereas clearer intervals might hold the minimum near 28°C. Model consensus remains close given the short lead time, with traders weighting official guidance heavily against historical August minima near 26–27°C and the high probability of precipitation that day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$317Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory set the baseline for August 24 minimum temperatures at 27°C within a 27–31°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C.** A broad low-pressure trough and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Zitan are expected to sustain cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling while increasing humidity and wind speeds from the south-southwest. These factors create narrow uncertainty bands, as heavier rainfall could enhance evaporative cooling toward 26°C, whereas clearer intervals might hold the minimum near 28°C. Model consensus remains close given the short lead time, with traders weighting official guidance heavily against historical August minima near 26–27°C and the high probability of precipitation that day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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