Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Turkish meteorological services point to Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 hovering near 18–20°C, driven by moderate northerly winds advecting cooler air over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara while sea surface temperatures near 23°C limit radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies and a 30–60% chance of evening showers add uncertainty, as cloud cover can suppress temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, whereas clearer intervals allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the lower end of expectations. This aligns with September climatology of roughly 17°C average lows but accounts for model spread in wind speed and precipitation timing, keeping market-implied odds clustered around the mid-teens to low-20s°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
15°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
16°C 96%
18°C 92%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
100%
16°C
96%
17°C
100%
18°C
92%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
16°C 96%
18°C 92%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$32 Vol.
96%
17°C
$132 Vol.
100%
18°C
$157 Vol.
92%
19°C
$7 Vol.
50%
20°C
$7 Vol.
50%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Turkish meteorological services point to Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 hovering near 18–20°C, driven by moderate northerly winds advecting cooler air over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara while sea surface temperatures near 23°C limit radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies and a 30–60% chance of evening showers add uncertainty, as cloud cover can suppress temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, whereas clearer intervals allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the lower end of expectations. This aligns with September climatology of roughly 17°C average lows but accounts for model spread in wind speed and precipitation timing, keeping market-implied odds clustered around the mid-teens to low-20s°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$386Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Turkish meteorological services point to Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 hovering near 18–20°C, driven by moderate northerly winds advecting cooler air over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara while sea surface temperatures near 23°C limit radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies and a 30–60% chance of evening showers add uncertainty, as cloud cover can suppress temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, whereas clearer intervals allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the lower end of expectations. This aligns with September climatology of roughly 17°C average lows but accounts for model spread in wind speed and precipitation timing, keeping market-implied odds clustered around the mid-teens to low-20s°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$386Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Turkish meteorological services point to Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 hovering near 18–20°C, driven by moderate northerly winds advecting cooler air over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara while sea surface temperatures near 23°C limit radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies and a 30–60% chance of evening showers add uncertainty, as cloud cover can suppress temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, whereas clearer intervals allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the lower end of expectations. This aligns with September climatology of roughly 17°C average lows but accounts for model spread in wind speed and precipitation timing, keeping market-implied odds clustered around the mid-teens to low-20s°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan