Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system and scattered showers approaching Istanbul on September 14, introducing uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and thus the daily minimum temperature. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles shows overnight lows ranging 14–19°C, with northerly winds and cloud cover limiting clear-sky cooling in some runs while others allow greater drops. This model divergence, typical for transitional autumn patterns near the Bosphorus where land-sea contrasts amplify variability, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and milder outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
14°C or below 93%
24°C or higher 90%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
93%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
31%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
90%
14°C or below 93%
24°C or higher 90%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$5 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system and scattered showers approaching Istanbul on September 14, introducing uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and thus the daily minimum temperature. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles shows overnight lows ranging 14–19°C, with northerly winds and cloud cover limiting clear-sky cooling in some runs while others allow greater drops. This model divergence, typical for transitional autumn patterns near the Bosphorus where land-sea contrasts amplify variability, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and milder outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$5Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system and scattered showers approaching Istanbul on September 14, introducing uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and thus the daily minimum temperature. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles shows overnight lows ranging 14–19°C, with northerly winds and cloud cover limiting clear-sky cooling in some runs while others allow greater drops. This model divergence, typical for transitional autumn patterns near the Bosphorus where land-sea contrasts amplify variability, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and milder outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system and scattered showers approaching Istanbul on September 14, introducing uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and thus the daily minimum temperature. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles shows overnight lows ranging 14–19°C, with northerly winds and cloud cover limiting clear-sky cooling in some runs while others allow greater drops. This model divergence, typical for transitional autumn patterns near the Bosphorus where land-sea contrasts amplify variability, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and milder outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan