**Building high pressure and clearing skies overnight are driving expectations for radiative cooling under light winds and low dew points around 10–12°C.** Official Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 11°C for London on September 20, consistent with model consensus for clear conditions following recent showery weather. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–15°C (over 90% combined probability) likely reflecting the urban heat island effect at central measurement sites versus rural forecast grids, plus minor uncertainty in exact cloud timing or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Historical September lows average 11–12°C, but recent mild nights and variable model runs keep probabilities for 12°C or below low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on September 20?
14°C 42%
15°C 30%
16°C 21%
13°C 19%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
20%
14°C
35%
15°C
30%
16°C
21%
17°C
5%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
15°C 30%
16°C 21%
13°C 19%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
20%
14°C
35%
15°C
30%
16°C
21%
17°C
5%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Building high pressure and clearing skies overnight are driving expectations for radiative cooling under light winds and low dew points around 10–12°C.** Official Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 11°C for London on September 20, consistent with model consensus for clear conditions following recent showery weather. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–15°C (over 90% combined probability) likely reflecting the urban heat island effect at central measurement sites versus rural forecast grids, plus minor uncertainty in exact cloud timing or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Historical September lows average 11–12°C, but recent mild nights and variable model runs keep probabilities for 12°C or below low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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