Recent forecast models indicate substantial uncertainty in Manila's overnight low for September 14, with projected minima near 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. In this peak southwest monsoon period, enhanced convection and potential habagat rains can suppress nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower 20s°C; elevated sea-surface temperatures sustain warm, moist air masses with limited diurnal range. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread between cooler rain-cooled scenarios and warmer baseline conditions typical of September climatology, where historical lows average around 25°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria for the lowest observed temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 14?
20°C or below 67%
30°C or higher 67%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
67%
21°C
13%
22°C
16%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
31%
26°C
30%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
67%
20°C or below 67%
30°C or higher 67%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
67%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$131 Vol.
22%
25°C
$5 Vol.
31%
26°C
$5 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate substantial uncertainty in Manila's overnight low for September 14, with projected minima near 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. In this peak southwest monsoon period, enhanced convection and potential habagat rains can suppress nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower 20s°C; elevated sea-surface temperatures sustain warm, moist air masses with limited diurnal range. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread between cooler rain-cooled scenarios and warmer baseline conditions typical of September climatology, where historical lows average around 25°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria for the lowest observed temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate substantial uncertainty in Manila's overnight low for September 14, with projected minima near 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. In this peak southwest monsoon period, enhanced convection and potential habagat rains can suppress nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower 20s°C; elevated sea-surface temperatures sustain warm, moist air masses with limited diurnal range. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread between cooler rain-cooled scenarios and warmer baseline conditions typical of September climatology, where historical lows average around 25°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria for the lowest observed temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate substantial uncertainty in Manila's overnight low for September 14, with projected minima near 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. In this peak southwest monsoon period, enhanced convection and potential habagat rains can suppress nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower 20s°C; elevated sea-surface temperatures sustain warm, moist air masses with limited diurnal range. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread between cooler rain-cooled scenarios and warmer baseline conditions typical of September climatology, where historical lows average around 25°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria for the lowest observed temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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