**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover are anchoring Munich’s overnight minimum near 11–13°C on September 13, 2026.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from the prior evening placed the low between 13–15°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling. Traders have priced 11°C at 84.5% implied probability because recent model runs show slightly cooler boundary-layer air and possible brief clearing that could shave 1–2°C off the forecast low. Sub-10°C outcomes (collectively ~42%) require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly shift that current observations and short-range guidance do not support. Historical mid-September minima average ~9–10°C, yet the present warm anomaly and lack of a cold front keep probabilities for 7°C or below low. Updated NWP runs and station observations through the night will determine final settlement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 13?
7°C or below 13%
8°C 4%
9°C 4%
12°C <1%
7°C or below
13%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
36%
11°C
67%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 13%
8°C 4%
9°C 4%
12°C <1%
7°C or below
13%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
36%
11°C
67%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover are anchoring Munich’s overnight minimum near 11–13°C on September 13, 2026.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from the prior evening placed the low between 13–15°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling. Traders have priced 11°C at 84.5% implied probability because recent model runs show slightly cooler boundary-layer air and possible brief clearing that could shave 1–2°C off the forecast low. Sub-10°C outcomes (collectively ~42%) require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly shift that current observations and short-range guidance do not support. Historical mid-September minima average ~9–10°C, yet the present warm anomaly and lack of a cold front keep probabilities for 7°C or below low. Updated NWP runs and station observations through the night will determine final settlement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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