Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period into September 19 with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–11 °C, keeping the daily low well above seasonal extremes but below the long-term average high of 19.2 °C. Trader sentiment splits between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or model bias in the final 24 hours can shift the recorded minimum by several degrees; updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will clarify whether clearer skies allow deeper cooling or if increasing moisture prevents it. Historical analogs show September 19 lows averaging 9.7 °C, underscoring how current mild advection keeps probabilities balanced near the middle bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 19?
16°C or higher 93%
6°C or below 85%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C or below
85%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
93%
16°C or higher 93%
6°C or below 85%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C or below
85%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period into September 19 with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–11 °C, keeping the daily low well above seasonal extremes but below the long-term average high of 19.2 °C. Trader sentiment splits between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or model bias in the final 24 hours can shift the recorded minimum by several degrees; updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will clarify whether clearer skies allow deeper cooling or if increasing moisture prevents it. Historical analogs show September 19 lows averaging 9.7 °C, underscoring how current mild advection keeps probabilities balanced near the middle bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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