Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and GFS indicate the overnight low in Munich on September 22 will likely fall between roughly 5°C and 9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 16–18°C. This range sits well below the September climatological average low of 9.3°C yet far from either the 12°C threshold or sub-2°C extremes priced near even odds by traders. Model consensus shows limited spread overnight, with surface pressure near 1029 hPa and dew points supporting efficient heat loss but no strong cold advection. Updated runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the precise minimum, directly informing resolution of the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
2°C or below 90%
7°C 40%
6°C 22%
3°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
90%
3°C
21%
4°C
18%
5°C
21%
6°C
22%
7°C
40%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C or higher
1%
2°C or below 90%
7°C 40%
6°C 22%
3°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
3°C
$0 Vol.
21%
4°C
$0 Vol.
18%
5°C
$0 Vol.
21%
6°C
$0 Vol.
22%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
1%
12°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and GFS indicate the overnight low in Munich on September 22 will likely fall between roughly 5°C and 9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 16–18°C. This range sits well below the September climatological average low of 9.3°C yet far from either the 12°C threshold or sub-2°C extremes priced near even odds by traders. Model consensus shows limited spread overnight, with surface pressure near 1029 hPa and dew points supporting efficient heat loss but no strong cold advection. Updated runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the precise minimum, directly informing resolution of the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and GFS indicate the overnight low in Munich on September 22 will likely fall between roughly 5°C and 9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 16–18°C. This range sits well below the September climatological average low of 9.3°C yet far from either the 12°C threshold or sub-2°C extremes priced near even odds by traders. Model consensus shows limited spread overnight, with surface pressure near 1029 hPa and dew points supporting efficient heat loss but no strong cold advection. Updated runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the precise minimum, directly informing resolution of the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and GFS indicate the overnight low in Munich on September 22 will likely fall between roughly 5°C and 9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 16–18°C. This range sits well below the September climatological average low of 9.3°C yet far from either the 12°C threshold or sub-2°C extremes priced near even odds by traders. Model consensus shows limited spread overnight, with surface pressure near 1029 hPa and dew points supporting efficient heat loss but no strong cold advection. Updated runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the precise minimum, directly informing resolution of the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan