Forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a typical early-September transition period for Taipei, with the minimum temperature on September 6 likely shaped by variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible weak frontal activity or residual moisture from the western Pacific. These conditions create narrow differences between 24–26°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, as even modest increases in overnight cloudiness or urban heat retention can lift the low by 1–2°C while clearer skies favor cooler readings near 23°C. Historical climatology shows September minima averaging 24–26°C, with typhoon steering patterns or sudden wind shifts introducing the low-probability tails below 22°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official thermometer data.