Current forecast models from sources like GMS, ECMWF analogs, and regional runs project Tel Aviv’s overnight low on September 14 near 23–25 °C under clear skies, light easterly drainage winds, and moderate humidity near 80–90 % at dawn. Radiative cooling will be limited by the urban heat island and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures around 28 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a stronger sea breeze could keep readings closer to 26 °C. Conversely, clearer conditions and lighter winds would allow greater nocturnal heat loss, potentially dipping toward 21–22 °C. The near-even market odds between sub-19 °C and 29 °C+ outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and the narrow historical range for September minima, with new high-resolution runs expected overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14?
19°C or below 87%
29°C or higher 81%
24°C 40%
21°C 38%
19°C or below
87%
20°C
17%
21°C
38%
22°C
21%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
38%
27°C
13%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
81%
19°C or below 87%
29°C or higher 81%
24°C 40%
21°C 38%
19°C or below
87%
20°C
17%
21°C
38%
22°C
21%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
38%
27°C
13%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GMS, ECMWF analogs, and regional runs project Tel Aviv’s overnight low on September 14 near 23–25 °C under clear skies, light easterly drainage winds, and moderate humidity near 80–90 % at dawn. Radiative cooling will be limited by the urban heat island and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures around 28 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a stronger sea breeze could keep readings closer to 26 °C. Conversely, clearer conditions and lighter winds would allow greater nocturnal heat loss, potentially dipping toward 21–22 °C. The near-even market odds between sub-19 °C and 29 °C+ outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and the narrow historical range for September minima, with new high-resolution runs expected overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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