Forecast models from multiple sources indicate stable late-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on September 13. Official guidance and ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating due to onshore flow and moderate humidity, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered around these values and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for 32 °C and 33 °C. No significant synoptic features or model spread are evident in the latest runs, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34 °C or below 31 °C. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service for any last adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
32°C 69%
33°C 29%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
69%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 69%
33°C 29%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
$877 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$666 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,549 Vol.
69%
33°C
$1,783 Vol.
29%
34°C
$446 Vol.
2%
35°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate stable late-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on September 13. Official guidance and ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating due to onshore flow and moderate humidity, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered around these values and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for 32 °C and 33 °C. No significant synoptic features or model spread are evident in the latest runs, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34 °C or below 31 °C. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,791Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate stable late-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on September 13. Official guidance and ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating due to onshore flow and moderate humidity, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered around these values and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for 32 °C and 33 °C. No significant synoptic features or model spread are evident in the latest runs, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34 °C or below 31 °C. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,791Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate stable late-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on September 13. Official guidance and ensemble runs show limited diurnal heating due to onshore flow and moderate humidity, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered around these values and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for 32 °C and 33 °C. No significant synoptic features or model spread are evident in the latest runs, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34 °C or below 31 °C. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service for any last adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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