The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reinforced by its voter composition across the North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities, underpins the market's 96.5% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to seek a Senate seat created an open race, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary options remain limited and face structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Traders assign minimal odds to a Republican upset, though late developments such as a primary surprise producing a weaker Democratic nominee or an unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$26,977 Vol.
$26,977 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$26,977 Vol.
$26,977 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,699 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$11,278 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reinforced by its voter composition across the North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities, underpins the market's 96.5% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to seek a Senate seat created an open race, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary options remain limited and face structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Traders assign minimal odds to a Republican upset, though late developments such as a primary surprise producing a weaker Democratic nominee or an unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,977Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reinforced by its voter composition across the North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities, underpins the market's 96.5% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to seek a Senate seat created an open race, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary options remain limited and face structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Traders assign minimal odds to a Republican upset, though late developments such as a primary surprise producing a weaker Democratic nominee or an unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,977Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reinforced by its voter composition across the North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities, underpins the market's 96.5% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to seek a Senate seat created an open race, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary options remain limited and face structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Traders assign minimal odds to a Republican upset, though late developments such as a primary surprise producing a weaker Democratic nominee or an unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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