Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in Senate contests since 2010, and recent polling shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a substantial general-election lead over Republican John Deaton even as Markey faces a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. This partisan baseline, combined with Markey's long tenure and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the state, produces the market's overwhelming consensus for a Democratic nominee. A primary upset that installs a weaker standard-bearer, a late-breaking scandal, or a sudden health development involving the frontrunner could still narrow the gap, though each remains low-probability given current evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
98%
Republican
2%
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$18,799 Vol.
98%
Republican
$5,426 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in Senate contests since 2010, and recent polling shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a substantial general-election lead over Republican John Deaton even as Markey faces a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. This partisan baseline, combined with Markey's long tenure and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the state, produces the market's overwhelming consensus for a Democratic nominee. A primary upset that installs a weaker standard-bearer, a late-breaking scandal, or a sudden health development involving the frontrunner could still narrow the gap, though each remains low-probability given current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$24,225Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in Senate contests since 2010, and recent polling shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a substantial general-election lead over Republican John Deaton even as Markey faces a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. This partisan baseline, combined with Markey's long tenure and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the state, produces the market's overwhelming consensus for a Democratic nominee. A primary upset that installs a weaker standard-bearer, a late-breaking scandal, or a sudden health development involving the frontrunner could still narrow the gap, though each remains low-probability given current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,225Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in Senate contests since 2010, and recent polling shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a substantial general-election lead over Republican John Deaton even as Markey faces a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. This partisan baseline, combined with Markey's long tenure and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the state, produces the market's overwhelming consensus for a Democratic nominee. A primary upset that installs a weaker standard-bearer, a late-breaking scandal, or a sudden health development involving the frontrunner could still narrow the gap, though each remains low-probability given current evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan