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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan

icon for Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan

Abdul El-Sayed 55%

Mallory McMorrow 25%

Haley Stevens 16.9%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$549,277 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed 55%

Mallory McMorrow 25%

Haley Stevens 16.9%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$549,277 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed

$106,800 Vol.

55%

Mallory McMorrow

$42,397 Vol.

25%

Haley Stevens

$34,048 Vol.

17%

Rashida Tlaib

$43,053 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$30,577 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$125,755 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$27,564 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$101,660 Vol.

<1%

Dana Nessel

$37,422 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling has driven trader consensus toward Abdul El-Sayed as the likely Democratic nominee for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, with surveys from early May showing him at 28 percent support ahead of Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow. The August 4 primary features a three-way contest among the former Wayne County health director, the state senator from Royal Oak, and the U.S. representative from the 11th district, with El-Sayed gaining ground through stronger small-dollar fundraising and endorsements from local officials. McMorrow continues to highlight her legislative record and grassroots support, while Stevens draws institutional backing, yet both trail in the latest head-to-head averages. The race remains fluid ahead of the filing deadline and final voter turnout, with no single candidate yet securing a majority in most surveys.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$549,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling has driven trader consensus toward Abdul El-Sayed as the likely Democratic nominee for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, with surveys from early May showing him at 28 percent support ahead of Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow. The August 4 primary features a three-way contest among the former Wayne County health director, the state senator from Royal Oak, and the U.S. representative from the 11th district, with El-Sayed gaining ground through stronger small-dollar fundraising and endorsements from local officials. McMorrow continues to highlight her legislative record and grassroots support, while Stevens draws institutional backing, yet both trail in the latest head-to-head averages. The race remains fluid ahead of the filing deadline and final voter turnout, with no single candidate yet securing a majority in most surveys.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$549,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Abdul El-Sayed" di 55%, diikuti oleh "Mallory McMorrow" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 55¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" telah menghasilkan $549.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 15, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" adalah "Abdul El-Sayed" di 55%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mallory McMorrow" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.