Skip to main content
icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.0%

Polymarket

$27,087 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.0%

Polymarket

$27,087 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,848 Vol.

65%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,847 Vol.

23%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,267 Vol.

13%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 Vol.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends position Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's October 2026 general election, with his party holding steady or slight leads over the Liberals in francophone ridings that favor majority seat projections in the National Assembly. Plamondon's consistent byelection wins and emphasis on sovereignty without immediate referendum triggers have sustained trader confidence at the current 64.5% implied probability. Charles Milliard has revived Liberal support since his February acclamation, closing gaps in urban and anglophone areas to reflect the 22.0% market share. Christine Fréchette's April ascension as CAQ premier following François Legault's January resignation has not reversed the party's sharp decline in overall support, capping her odds at 12.2%. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal amid the two-party contest dynamic ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,087
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends position Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's October 2026 general election, with his party holding steady or slight leads over the Liberals in francophone ridings that favor majority seat projections in the National Assembly. Plamondon's consistent byelection wins and emphasis on sovereignty without immediate referendum triggers have sustained trader confidence at the current 64.5% implied probability. Charles Milliard has revived Liberal support since his February acclamation, closing gaps in urban and anglophone areas to reflect the 22.0% market share. Christine Fréchette's April ascension as CAQ premier following François Legault's January resignation has not reversed the party's sharp decline in overall support, capping her odds at 12.2%. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal amid the two-party contest dynamic ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,087
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Premier of Quebec" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" di 65%, diikuti oleh "Charles Milliard" di 23%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 65¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 65% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Premier of Quebec" telah menghasilkan $27.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Premier of Quebec," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Premier of Quebec" adalah "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" di 65%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 65% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Charles Milliard" di 23%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Premier of Quebec" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.