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Pemilihan Umum·Spanyol

President of Andalusia after election?

icon for President of Andalusia after election?
Pemilihan Umum·Spanyol

President of Andalusia after election?

Juanma Moreno 98.4%

María Jesús Montero 1.2%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$23,017 Vol.

Juanma Moreno 98.4%

María Jesús Montero 1.2%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$23,017 Vol.

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$9,001 Vol.

98%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,126 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$3,844 Vol.

1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$2,966 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$3,081 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia's regional government following the May 17 Parliament election, fueled by consistent polling averages projecting his party 42-44% of the vote and 53-56 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos, Celeste-Tel, and GAD3 over the past week reinforce this dominance, attributing it to Moreno's strong debate performances since early May and the PSOE's projected historic low under María Jesús Montero amid national headwinds. While Vox trails at 13-14%, Moreno's path to investiture appears secure barring an improbable late scandal, turnout surge for opponents, or parliamentary defection.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,017
Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia's regional government following the May 17 Parliament election, fueled by consistent polling averages projecting his party 42-44% of the vote and 53-56 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos, Celeste-Tel, and GAD3 over the past week reinforce this dominance, attributing it to Moreno's strong debate performances since early May and the PSOE's projected historic low under María Jesús Montero amid national headwinds. While Vox trails at 13-14%, Moreno's path to investiture appears secure barring an improbable late scandal, turnout surge for opponents, or parliamentary defection.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,017
Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"President of Andalusia after election?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Juanma Moreno" di 98%, diikuti oleh "María Jesús Montero" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "President of Andalusia after election?" telah menghasilkan $23K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "President of Andalusia after election?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "President of Andalusia after election?" adalah "Juanma Moreno" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "María Jesús Montero" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "President of Andalusia after election?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.