South Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% brackets because the economy posted a stronger-than-expected 3.7% expansion in Q2, driven by a semiconductor export surge that offset softer domestic demand. Robust chip shipments, which account for over 40% of total exports, lifted June export growth above 50% year-on-year and supported the Bank of Korea’s preliminary view that a 3% full-year pace remains attainable if momentum holds. Offsetting factors include moderating quarterly momentum after Q1’s 1.8% pace, rising headline inflation near 3%, and lingering effects from Middle East energy volatility. Traders are weighing whether AI-related demand sustains export strength through September against potential softening in facilities investment and private consumption. Key near-term catalysts include the next industrial production and trade releases plus any Bank of Korea policy signals on rate path adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3.0–3.4% 36%
2.5–2.9% 33%
3.5–3.9% 21.4%
2.0–2.4% 11%
$37,974 Vol.
$37,974 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<2.0%
3%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
33%
3.0–3.4%
36%
3.5–3.9%
21%
4.0–4.4%
1%
4.5–4.9%
1%
5.0%+
1%
3.0–3.4% 36%
2.5–2.9% 33%
3.5–3.9% 21.4%
2.0–2.4% 11%
$37,974 Vol.
$37,974 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<2.0%
$533 Vol.
3%
2.0–2.4%
$11,847 Vol.
11%
2.5–2.9%
$3,551 Vol.
33%
3.0–3.4%
$20,153 Vol.
36%
3.5–3.9%
$752 Vol.
21%
4.0–4.4%
$507 Vol.
1%
4.5–4.9%
$317 Vol.
1%
5.0%+
$314 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% brackets because the economy posted a stronger-than-expected 3.7% expansion in Q2, driven by a semiconductor export surge that offset softer domestic demand. Robust chip shipments, which account for over 40% of total exports, lifted June export growth above 50% year-on-year and supported the Bank of Korea’s preliminary view that a 3% full-year pace remains attainable if momentum holds. Offsetting factors include moderating quarterly momentum after Q1’s 1.8% pace, rising headline inflation near 3%, and lingering effects from Middle East energy volatility. Traders are weighing whether AI-related demand sustains export strength through September against potential softening in facilities investment and private consumption. Key near-term catalysts include the next industrial production and trade releases plus any Bank of Korea policy signals on rate path adjustments.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Volume
$37,974Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% brackets because the economy posted a stronger-than-expected 3.7% expansion in Q2, driven by a semiconductor export surge that offset softer domestic demand. Robust chip shipments, which account for over 40% of total exports, lifted June export growth above 50% year-on-year and supported the Bank of Korea’s preliminary view that a 3% full-year pace remains attainable if momentum holds. Offsetting factors include moderating quarterly momentum after Q1’s 1.8% pace, rising headline inflation near 3%, and lingering effects from Middle East energy volatility. Traders are weighing whether AI-related demand sustains export strength through September against potential softening in facilities investment and private consumption. Key near-term catalysts include the next industrial production and trade releases plus any Bank of Korea policy signals on rate path adjustments.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Volume
$37,974Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% brackets because the economy posted a stronger-than-expected 3.7% expansion in Q2, driven by a semiconductor export surge that offset softer domestic demand. Robust chip shipments, which account for over 40% of total exports, lifted June export growth above 50% year-on-year and supported the Bank of Korea’s preliminary view that a 3% full-year pace remains attainable if momentum holds. Offsetting factors include moderating quarterly momentum after Q1’s 1.8% pace, rising headline inflation near 3%, and lingering effects from Middle East energy volatility. Traders are weighing whether AI-related demand sustains export strength through September against potential softening in facilities investment and private consumption. Key near-term catalysts include the next industrial production and trade releases plus any Bank of Korea policy signals on rate path adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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