Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat anchored in eastern Tennessee around Knoxville, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 following the state's 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett, first elected in 2018, secured 69% of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, 2026, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the presumptive general election nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unforeseen primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
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TN-02 House Election Winner
$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,235 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$8,807 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat anchored in eastern Tennessee around Knoxville, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 following the state's 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett, first elected in 2018, secured 69% of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, 2026, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the presumptive general election nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unforeseen primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$28,042Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat anchored in eastern Tennessee around Knoxville, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 following the state's 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett, first elected in 2018, secured 69% of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, 2026, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the presumptive general election nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unforeseen primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,042Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat anchored in eastern Tennessee around Knoxville, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 following the state's 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett, first elected in 2018, secured 69% of the vote in 2024 and faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, 2026, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the presumptive general election nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unforeseen primary disruption could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
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