The Tocantins gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 first round, with multiple candidates from different parties vying for support in a fragmented field. Recent July polls from Paraná Pesquisas and others show Vicentinho Júnior and Professora Dorinha essentially tied in the low-to-mid 30s percent range in stimulated scenarios, while Laurez Moreira, Du Pereira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and others trail in the teens or lower. Party conventions in early August formalized candidacies including Laurez Moreira (PSD), Witer Naves (PSOL), and Luiz Carlos Ferreira (Democrata), alongside the sitting governor's prior interim role and approval ratings. This wide distribution of support, combined with undecided voters and the possibility of a runoff, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading names and keeps separation dependent on turnout, alliances, and any late shifts in voter preference.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLaurez Moreira 41%
Prof. Witer Naves 41%
Professora Dorinha 40%
Vicentinho Júnior 40%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Laurez Moreira
41%
Prof. Witer Naves
41%
Professora Dorinha
40%
Vicentinho Júnior
40%
Ataides de Oliveira
39%
Du Pereira
39%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
39%
Laurez Moreira 41%
Prof. Witer Naves 41%
Professora Dorinha 40%
Vicentinho Júnior 40%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Laurez Moreira
$0 Vol.
41%
Prof. Witer Naves
$0 Vol.
41%
Professora Dorinha
$0 Vol.
40%
Vicentinho Júnior
$0 Vol.
40%
Ataides de Oliveira
$0 Vol.
39%
Du Pereira
$0 Vol.
39%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
$0 Vol.
39%
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 first round, with multiple candidates from different parties vying for support in a fragmented field. Recent July polls from Paraná Pesquisas and others show Vicentinho Júnior and Professora Dorinha essentially tied in the low-to-mid 30s percent range in stimulated scenarios, while Laurez Moreira, Du Pereira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and others trail in the teens or lower. Party conventions in early August formalized candidacies including Laurez Moreira (PSD), Witer Naves (PSOL), and Luiz Carlos Ferreira (Democrata), alongside the sitting governor's prior interim role and approval ratings. This wide distribution of support, combined with undecided voters and the possibility of a runoff, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading names and keeps separation dependent on turnout, alliances, and any late shifts in voter preference.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 first round, with multiple candidates from different parties vying for support in a fragmented field. Recent July polls from Paraná Pesquisas and others show Vicentinho Júnior and Professora Dorinha essentially tied in the low-to-mid 30s percent range in stimulated scenarios, while Laurez Moreira, Du Pereira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and others trail in the teens or lower. Party conventions in early August formalized candidacies including Laurez Moreira (PSD), Witer Naves (PSOL), and Luiz Carlos Ferreira (Democrata), alongside the sitting governor's prior interim role and approval ratings. This wide distribution of support, combined with undecided voters and the possibility of a runoff, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading names and keeps separation dependent on turnout, alliances, and any late shifts in voter preference.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tocantins gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 first round, with multiple candidates from different parties vying for support in a fragmented field. Recent July polls from Paraná Pesquisas and others show Vicentinho Júnior and Professora Dorinha essentially tied in the low-to-mid 30s percent range in stimulated scenarios, while Laurez Moreira, Du Pereira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and others trail in the teens or lower. Party conventions in early August formalized candidacies including Laurez Moreira (PSD), Witer Naves (PSOL), and Luiz Carlos Ferreira (Democrata), alongside the sitting governor's prior interim role and approval ratings. This wide distribution of support, combined with undecided voters and the possibility of a runoff, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading names and keeps separation dependent on turnout, alliances, and any late shifts in voter preference.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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