Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party continue to discuss constitutional reforms aimed at strengthening executive powers, yet the ruling coalition holds only 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—well short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum. Recent statements from the justice minister and deputy speaker highlight ongoing talks tied to the Kurdish peace process, but these remain preliminary without a formal drafting committee vote or legislative schedule. Traders price the “No” outcome at 68.5 percent because constitutional changes of this scale have historically required cross-party consensus that has not materialized, and no official announcement has occurred in the first five months of 2026 despite public calls for reform.
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party continue to discuss constitutional reforms aimed at strengthening executive powers, yet the ruling coalition holds only 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—well short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum. Recent statements from the justice minister and deputy speaker highlight ongoing talks tied to the Kurdish peace process, but these remain preliminary without a formal drafting committee vote or legislative schedule. Traders price the “No” outcome at 68.5 percent because constitutional changes of this scale have historically required cross-party consensus that has not materialized, and no official announcement has occurred in the first five months of 2026 despite public calls for reform.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$530Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party continue to discuss constitutional reforms aimed at strengthening executive powers, yet the ruling coalition holds only 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—well short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum. Recent statements from the justice minister and deputy speaker highlight ongoing talks tied to the Kurdish peace process, but these remain preliminary without a formal drafting committee vote or legislative schedule. Traders price the “No” outcome at 68.5 percent because constitutional changes of this scale have historically required cross-party consensus that has not materialized, and no official announcement has occurred in the first five months of 2026 despite public calls for reform.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$530Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party continue to discuss constitutional reforms aimed at strengthening executive powers, yet the ruling coalition holds only 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—well short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum. Recent statements from the justice minister and deputy speaker highlight ongoing talks tied to the Kurdish peace process, but these remain preliminary without a formal drafting committee vote or legislative schedule. Traders price the “No” outcome at 68.5 percent because constitutional changes of this scale have historically required cross-party consensus that has not materialized, and no official announcement has occurred in the first five months of 2026 despite public calls for reform.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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