President Trump's May 1 rally speech at The Villages, Florida, recounted his cognitive test experience, verbally naming lion, giraffe, bear, shark, and dogβresolving those outcomes Yes and establishing early market momentum based on his rhetorical style of animal analogies. With no confirmed verbal mentions in subsequent White House remarks on May 4, 6, or 8, or recent China trip speeches, remaining outcomes like Turkey/Turkiye (75% implied probability), Cat (56%), and Eagle (52%) reflect trader consensus on patterns from past rallies where he deploys metaphors for opponents (snakes, pigs) or foreign policy references (Turkey). Upcoming presidential schedule through May 31, including potential rallies and press events, could shift odds via off-script asides.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui$14,665 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Cat
55%
Bird
43%
Eagle
53%
Hawk
34%
Mosquito
43%
Rabbit / Bunny
44%
Hippo / Hippopotamus
35%
Panther
20%
Pig
48%
Elephant
50%
Wolf
50%
Whale
46%
Chicken
52%
Snake
43%
Kangaroo
30%
Deer
45%
Frog
21%
Goat
28%
Mouse
33%
Turtle
43%
Turkey / Turkiye
75%
$14,665 Vol.
Cat
$301 Vol.
55%
Bird
$2 Vol.
43%
Eagle
$277 Vol.
53%
Hawk
$37 Vol.
34%
Mosquito
$59 Vol.
43%
Rabbit / Bunny
$5 Vol.
44%
Hippo / Hippopotamus
$6 Vol.
35%
Panther
$42 Vol.
20%
Pig
$362 Vol.
48%
Elephant
$40 Vol.
50%
Wolf
$491 Vol.
50%
Whale
$7 Vol.
46%
Chicken
$7 Vol.
52%
Snake
$64 Vol.
43%
Kangaroo
$5 Vol.
30%
Deer
$0 Vol.
45%
Frog
$163 Vol.
21%
Goat
$21 Vol.
28%
Mouse
$4 Vol.
33%
Turtle
$1 Vol.
43%
Turkey / Turkiye
$1,708 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a personβs first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about βJoe / Biden 5+ times,β a mention of βJoe Bidenβ will count once).
A βmentionβ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's May 1 rally speech at The Villages, Florida, recounted his cognitive test experience, verbally naming lion, giraffe, bear, shark, and dogβresolving those outcomes Yes and establishing early market momentum based on his rhetorical style of animal analogies. With no confirmed verbal mentions in subsequent White House remarks on May 4, 6, or 8, or recent China trip speeches, remaining outcomes like Turkey/Turkiye (75% implied probability), Cat (56%), and Eagle (52%) reflect trader consensus on patterns from past rallies where he deploys metaphors for opponents (snakes, pigs) or foreign policy references (Turkey). Upcoming presidential schedule through May 31, including potential rallies and press events, could shift odds via off-script asides.
This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a personβs first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about βJoe / Biden 5+ times,β a mention of βJoe Bidenβ will count once).
A βmentionβ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a personβs first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about βJoe / Biden 5+ times,β a mention of βJoe Bidenβ will count once).
A βmentionβ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$14,665Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a personβs first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about βJoe / Biden 5+ times,β a mention of βJoe Bidenβ will count once).
A βmentionβ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's May 1 rally speech at The Villages, Florida, recounted his cognitive test experience, verbally naming lion, giraffe, bear, shark, and dogβresolving those outcomes Yes and establishing early market momentum based on his rhetorical style of animal analogies. With no confirmed verbal mentions in subsequent White House remarks on May 4, 6, or 8, or recent China trip speeches, remaining outcomes like Turkey/Turkiye (75% implied probability), Cat (56%), and Eagle (52%) reflect trader consensus on patterns from past rallies where he deploys metaphors for opponents (snakes, pigs) or foreign policy references (Turkey). Upcoming presidential schedule through May 31, including potential rallies and press events, could shift odds via off-script asides.
This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a personβs first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about βJoe / Biden 5+ times,β a mention of βJoe Bidenβ will count once).
A βmentionβ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a personβs first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about βJoe / Biden 5+ times,β a mention of βJoe Bidenβ will count once).
A βmentionβ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$14,665Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's May 1 rally speech at The Villages, Florida, recounted his cognitive test experience, verbally naming lion, giraffe, bear, shark, and dogβresolving those outcomes Yes and establishing early market momentum based on his rhetorical style of animal analogies. With no confirmed verbal mentions in subsequent White House remarks on May 4, 6, or 8, or recent China trip speeches, remaining outcomes like Turkey/Turkiye (75% implied probability), Cat (56%), and Eagle (52%) reflect trader consensus on patterns from past rallies where he deploys metaphors for opponents (snakes, pigs) or foreign policy references (Turkey). Upcoming presidential schedule through May 31, including potential rallies and press events, could shift odds via off-script asides.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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