Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, followed by the June 17 press conference, marks his initial opportunity to signal shifts in monetary policy communication and the Summary of Economic Projections. Recent inflation data showing a three-year high, combined with Warsh’s Senate testimony favoring “strategic ambiguity,” fewer official speeches, and less frequent press conferences, shape expectations around his tone and any hints on future rate paths or balance-sheet policy. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch closely for signals of a more neutral stance or working groups on communication reforms. President Trump’s public preference for lower rates adds context on potential independence dynamics, while the updated dot plot and economic projections provide concrete data points traders assess against prior Powell-era guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$31,023 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
Inflation 40+ times
54%
Inflation 50+ times
41%
Inflation 60+ times
25%
Job 15+ times
47%
Jerome / Powell
77%
Trump
20%
Rate / Cut
95%
Money
42%
Good Afternoon
81%
Depression / Recession
45%
Chair
77%
FED
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
Balance Sheet
75%
Dual Mandate
54%
Goods Inflation
35%
Stock
38%
I Don't Know
49%
Downside
42%
Trend
42%
Stable / Stability
82%
Job Market
63%
Maximum Employment
79%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
32%
Asymmetric
32%
$31,023 Vol.
Inflation 40+ times
$190 Vol.
54%
Inflation 50+ times
$58 Vol.
41%
Inflation 60+ times
$6 Vol.
25%
Job 15+ times
$409 Vol.
47%
Jerome / Powell
$347 Vol.
77%
Trump
$9,816 Vol.
20%
Rate / Cut
$362 Vol.
95%
Money
$695 Vol.
42%
Good Afternoon
$4,612 Vol.
81%
Depression / Recession
$2,101 Vol.
45%
Chair
$814 Vol.
77%
FED
$556 Vol.
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$589 Vol.
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$1,162 Vol.
11%
Balance Sheet
$262 Vol.
75%
Dual Mandate
$82 Vol.
54%
Goods Inflation
$1,391 Vol.
35%
Stock
$680 Vol.
38%
I Don't Know
$1,836 Vol.
49%
Downside
$15 Vol.
42%
Trend
$643 Vol.
42%
Stable / Stability
$1,008 Vol.
82%
Job Market
$807 Vol.
63%
Maximum Employment
$590 Vol.
79%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$376 Vol.
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
$589 Vol.
32%
Asymmetric
$1,037 Vol.
32%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, followed by the June 17 press conference, marks his initial opportunity to signal shifts in monetary policy communication and the Summary of Economic Projections. Recent inflation data showing a three-year high, combined with Warsh’s Senate testimony favoring “strategic ambiguity,” fewer official speeches, and less frequent press conferences, shape expectations around his tone and any hints on future rate paths or balance-sheet policy. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch closely for signals of a more neutral stance or working groups on communication reforms. President Trump’s public preference for lower rates adds context on potential independence dynamics, while the updated dot plot and economic projections provide concrete data points traders assess against prior Powell-era guidance.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$31,023Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, followed by the June 17 press conference, marks his initial opportunity to signal shifts in monetary policy communication and the Summary of Economic Projections. Recent inflation data showing a three-year high, combined with Warsh’s Senate testimony favoring “strategic ambiguity,” fewer official speeches, and less frequent press conferences, shape expectations around his tone and any hints on future rate paths or balance-sheet policy. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch closely for signals of a more neutral stance or working groups on communication reforms. President Trump’s public preference for lower rates adds context on potential independence dynamics, while the updated dot plot and economic projections provide concrete data points traders assess against prior Powell-era guidance.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$31,023Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, followed by the June 17 press conference, marks his initial opportunity to signal shifts in monetary policy communication and the Summary of Economic Projections. Recent inflation data showing a three-year high, combined with Warsh’s Senate testimony favoring “strategic ambiguity,” fewer official speeches, and less frequent press conferences, shape expectations around his tone and any hints on future rate paths or balance-sheet policy. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch closely for signals of a more neutral stance or working groups on communication reforms. President Trump’s public preference for lower rates adds context on potential independence dynamics, while the updated dot plot and economic projections provide concrete data points traders assess against prior Powell-era guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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