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icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Ekonomi·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Ekonomi·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
BARU

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
BARU

<553k

$0 Vol.

7%

553 - 559k

$96 Vol.

23%

559 - 566k

$95 Vol.

43%

566 - 572k

$1,002 Vol.

21%

572 - 579k

$0 Vol.

10%

579 - 585k

$0 Vol.

7%

585 - 598k

$6 Vol.

7%

>598k

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent Zillow Home Value Index data for the Washington, D.C., metro area place typical home values at approximately $580,000 as of late April 2026, down about 3% year-over-year amid rising active listings and federal employment uncertainty. This positioning supports the market’s leading 559-566k bucket at 43.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k ranges capturing the balance of trader sentiment. Elevated inventory, softer contract activity in some segments, and 2026 forecasts projecting 0.7–1% price softening have anchored probabilities around these levels rather than higher brackets. With resolution only two weeks away, any final May housing reports or mortgage-rate movements could still shift the precise outcome within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,199
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent Zillow Home Value Index data for the Washington, D.C., metro area place typical home values at approximately $580,000 as of late April 2026, down about 3% year-over-year amid rising active listings and federal employment uncertainty. This positioning supports the market’s leading 559-566k bucket at 43.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k ranges capturing the balance of trader sentiment. Elevated inventory, softer contract activity in some segments, and 2026 forecasts projecting 0.7–1% price softening have anchored probabilities around these levels rather than higher brackets. With resolution only two weeks away, any final May housing reports or mortgage-rate movements could still shift the precise outcome within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,199
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "559 - 566k" di 43%, diikuti oleh "553 - 559k" di 23%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 4, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" adalah "559 - 566k" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "553 - 559k" di 23%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.