OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by GPT-5.6 Sol's current 96.2 subcategory lead over Claude Fable 5's 96.0 on the live leaderboard. Both models benefit from extended test-time compute and specialized reasoning training that push mathematical problem-solving beyond prior GPT-5 and Claude Opus generations. Anthropic remains competitive at 47.5% implied probability due to its strong overall benchmark consistency and recent Fable-series updates, while lower odds for Meta, Google, and others reflect their trailing math-specific performance. Key swing factors include any new model drops or fine-tunes before the cutoff, as frontier labs continue iterating rapidly on contamination-resistant evaluations like LiveBench.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
OpenAI 52%
Anthropic 48%
Meta <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
52%
Anthropic
48%
Meta
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
1%
MiniMax
1%
StepFun
1%
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
OpenAI 52%
Anthropic 48%
Meta <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$1,163 Vol.
52%
Anthropic
$1,794 Vol.
48%
Meta
$341 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$317 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$325 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$310 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$326 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$285 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$285 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$285 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$290 Vol.
1%
$344 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$285 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$305 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$210 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$290 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$492 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$210 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$255 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$210 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by GPT-5.6 Sol's current 96.2 subcategory lead over Claude Fable 5's 96.0 on the live leaderboard. Both models benefit from extended test-time compute and specialized reasoning training that push mathematical problem-solving beyond prior GPT-5 and Claude Opus generations. Anthropic remains competitive at 47.5% implied probability due to its strong overall benchmark consistency and recent Fable-series updates, while lower odds for Meta, Google, and others reflect their trailing math-specific performance. Key swing factors include any new model drops or fine-tunes before the cutoff, as frontier labs continue iterating rapidly on contamination-resistant evaluations like LiveBench.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$8,532Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by GPT-5.6 Sol's current 96.2 subcategory lead over Claude Fable 5's 96.0 on the live leaderboard. Both models benefit from extended test-time compute and specialized reasoning training that push mathematical problem-solving beyond prior GPT-5 and Claude Opus generations. Anthropic remains competitive at 47.5% implied probability due to its strong overall benchmark consistency and recent Fable-series updates, while lower odds for Meta, Google, and others reflect their trailing math-specific performance. Key swing factors include any new model drops or fine-tunes before the cutoff, as frontier labs continue iterating rapidly on contamination-resistant evaluations like LiveBench.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$8,532Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by GPT-5.6 Sol's current 96.2 subcategory lead over Claude Fable 5's 96.0 on the live leaderboard. Both models benefit from extended test-time compute and specialized reasoning training that push mathematical problem-solving beyond prior GPT-5 and Claude Opus generations. Anthropic remains competitive at 47.5% implied probability due to its strong overall benchmark consistency and recent Fable-series updates, while lower odds for Meta, Google, and others reflect their trailing math-specific performance. Key swing factors include any new model drops or fine-tunes before the cutoff, as frontier labs continue iterating rapidly on contamination-resistant evaluations like LiveBench.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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