Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Aug 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
4%
↑ $4.75
10%
↑ $4.50
12%
↑ $4.25
17%
↓ $3.90
19%
↓ $3.70
10%
↓ $3.50
4%
↓ $3.25
13%
↓ $3.00
4%
↓ $2.50
<1%
$9,200 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$2,364 Vol.
4%
↑ $4.75
$297 Vol.
10%
↑ $4.50
$2,105 Vol.
12%
↑ $4.25
$1,585 Vol.
17%
↓ $3.90
$487 Vol.
19%
↓ $3.70
$1,502 Vol.
10%
↓ $3.50
$155 Vol.
4%
↓ $3.25
$333 Vol.
13%
↓ $3.00
$133 Vol.
4%
↓ $2.50
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$9,200Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$9,200Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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