The absence of any scheduled presidential vote by late June stems from the regular four-year cycle set by the 2024 election that installed Masoud Pezeshkian, with the next contest constitutionally due only in 2028. Pezeshkian continues routine public duties and consultations with the newly selected Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei following the February 2026 leadership transition, producing no procedural trigger for an early ballot. Traders therefore assign near-certain weight to the “no” outcome. The primary remaining variables that could still alter timing involve an unforeseen vacancy in the presidency itself or acute external shocks prompting the Guardian Council and Assembly of Experts to accelerate the process within the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$698,656 Vol.
$698,656 Vol.
$698,656 Vol.
$698,656 Vol.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of any scheduled presidential vote by late June stems from the regular four-year cycle set by the 2024 election that installed Masoud Pezeshkian, with the next contest constitutionally due only in 2028. Pezeshkian continues routine public duties and consultations with the newly selected Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei following the February 2026 leadership transition, producing no procedural trigger for an early ballot. Traders therefore assign near-certain weight to the “no” outcome. The primary remaining variables that could still alter timing involve an unforeseen vacancy in the presidency itself or acute external shocks prompting the Guardian Council and Assembly of Experts to accelerate the process within the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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