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Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

icon for Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

2% peluang
Polymarket

$55,873 Vol.

2% peluang
Polymarket

$55,873 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kamala Harris has signaled interest in a potential 2028 presidential bid through recent public remarks and appearances in key primary states, yet she remains in an exploratory phase focused on rebuilding support among Democratic voters and donors following the 2024 election. No formal announcement has occurred by mid-May 2026, and historical patterns for post-loss candidates show declarations typically emerging in 2027 rather than mid-2026. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, with the current 98 percent implied probability for no announcement by June 30 anchored in the absence of any scheduled launch events or definitive commitments. Factors that could still shift odds include an abrupt decision driven by polling shifts, a major Democratic setback ahead of midterms, or health or personal developments prompting earlier action.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,873
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kamala Harris has signaled interest in a potential 2028 presidential bid through recent public remarks and appearances in key primary states, yet she remains in an exploratory phase focused on rebuilding support among Democratic voters and donors following the 2024 election. No formal announcement has occurred by mid-May 2026, and historical patterns for post-loss candidates show declarations typically emerging in 2027 rather than mid-2026. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, with the current 98 percent implied probability for no announcement by June 30 anchored in the absence of any scheduled launch events or definitive commitments. Factors that could still shift odds include an abrupt decision driven by polling shifts, a major Democratic setback ahead of midterms, or health or personal developments prompting earlier action.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,873
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 2% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 2¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 2% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $55.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?" adalah 2% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 2% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.