Russian forces have intensified military operations along the Sumy Oblast border in the Krasnopillia direction, expanding buffer zones and conducting assaults toward the settlement, a reported Ukrainian logistical hub, with thermobaric strikes and infantry clashes as recently as May 13 grinding enemy defenses. Late April advances included entering Taratutyne village, infiltrating forests east of Novodmytrivka and north of Myropilske, and probing tactical heights near Ryasne, though Ukrainian units like the 21st Mechanized and 71st Airborne Assault Brigades repelled mechanized infiltrations along the gas pipeline route. No confirmed entry into Krasnopillia itself has occurred, amid ongoing artillery, drone attacks, and skirmishes shaping assessments of escalation risks, with no major diplomatic developments or scheduled events noted in the past 30 days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
$10,121 Vol.
May 31
25%
$10,121 Vol.
May 31
25%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 22, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified military operations along the Sumy Oblast border in the Krasnopillia direction, expanding buffer zones and conducting assaults toward the settlement, a reported Ukrainian logistical hub, with thermobaric strikes and infantry clashes as recently as May 13 grinding enemy defenses. Late April advances included entering Taratutyne village, infiltrating forests east of Novodmytrivka and north of Myropilske, and probing tactical heights near Ryasne, though Ukrainian units like the 21st Mechanized and 71st Airborne Assault Brigades repelled mechanized infiltrations along the gas pipeline route. No confirmed entry into Krasnopillia itself has occurred, amid ongoing artillery, drone attacks, and skirmishes shaping assessments of escalation risks, with no major diplomatic developments or scheduled events noted in the past 30 days.
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