Trader sentiment on Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30 remains evenly split at 50% "Yes," reflecting OpenAI's aggressive for-profit restructuring and 2026 IPO ambitions that could necessitate CEO alignment incentives, balanced against escalating governance scrutiny. Recent catalysts include Altman's testimony this week in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial—where co-founder Greg Brockman disclosed a $30 billion personal stake and financial ties to Altman—and probes by six state attorneys general into alleged conflicts, such as OpenAI investments benefiting Altman's $2 billion in external stakes like Helion Energy. No equity grant has materialized despite past board discussions, leaving odds vulnerable to trial revelations, IPO timeline updates from CFO Sarah Friar, or pre-deadline compensation announcements that could decisively tip the market.
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Jun 30, 2026
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Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30 remains evenly split at 50% "Yes," reflecting OpenAI's aggressive for-profit restructuring and 2026 IPO ambitions that could necessitate CEO alignment incentives, balanced against escalating governance scrutiny. Recent catalysts include Altman's testimony this week in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial—where co-founder Greg Brockman disclosed a $30 billion personal stake and financial ties to Altman—and probes by six state attorneys general into alleged conflicts, such as OpenAI investments benefiting Altman's $2 billion in external stakes like Helion Energy. No equity grant has materialized despite past board discussions, leaving odds vulnerable to trial revelations, IPO timeline updates from CFO Sarah Friar, or pre-deadline compensation announcements that could decisively tip the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$4,908Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30 remains evenly split at 50% "Yes," reflecting OpenAI's aggressive for-profit restructuring and 2026 IPO ambitions that could necessitate CEO alignment incentives, balanced against escalating governance scrutiny. Recent catalysts include Altman's testimony this week in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial—where co-founder Greg Brockman disclosed a $30 billion personal stake and financial ties to Altman—and probes by six state attorneys general into alleged conflicts, such as OpenAI investments benefiting Altman's $2 billion in external stakes like Helion Energy. No equity grant has materialized despite past board discussions, leaving odds vulnerable to trial revelations, IPO timeline updates from CFO Sarah Friar, or pre-deadline compensation announcements that could decisively tip the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,908Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Sam Altman securing OpenAI equity by June 30 remains evenly split at 50% "Yes," reflecting OpenAI's aggressive for-profit restructuring and 2026 IPO ambitions that could necessitate CEO alignment incentives, balanced against escalating governance scrutiny. Recent catalysts include Altman's testimony this week in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial—where co-founder Greg Brockman disclosed a $30 billion personal stake and financial ties to Altman—and probes by six state attorneys general into alleged conflicts, such as OpenAI investments benefiting Altman's $2 billion in external stakes like Helion Energy. No equity grant has materialized despite past board discussions, leaving odds vulnerable to trial revelations, IPO timeline updates from CFO Sarah Friar, or pre-deadline compensation announcements that could decisively tip the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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