Recent legislative action centered on the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions and other targeted relief but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Discussions in mid-2026 about potential further steps, such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, remain exploratory with bills stalled in committee and limited prospects for swift congressional passage ahead of midterms. Traders view these factors, combined with competing fiscal priorities and procedural barriers, as the primary reasons consensus favors no broad rate reduction materializing before 2027.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui17% peluang
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
17% peluang
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent legislative action centered on the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions and other targeted relief but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Discussions in mid-2026 about potential further steps, such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, remain exploratory with bills stalled in committee and limited prospects for swift congressional passage ahead of midterms. Traders view these factors, combined with competing fiscal priorities and procedural barriers, as the primary reasons consensus favors no broad rate reduction materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$2,141Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent legislative action centered on the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions and other targeted relief but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Discussions in mid-2026 about potential further steps, such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, remain exploratory with bills stalled in committee and limited prospects for swift congressional passage ahead of midterms. Traders view these factors, combined with competing fiscal priorities and procedural barriers, as the primary reasons consensus favors no broad rate reduction materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,141Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent legislative action centered on the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions and other targeted relief but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Discussions in mid-2026 about potential further steps, such as inflation indexing or expanded home-sale exclusions, remain exploratory with bills stalled in committee and limited prospects for swift congressional passage ahead of midterms. Traders view these factors, combined with competing fiscal priorities and procedural barriers, as the primary reasons consensus favors no broad rate reduction materializing before 2027.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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