Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a narrow Republican edge entering the 2026 midterms after GOP flips in 2024, with Democrats currently holding seven seats. Trader consensus clustering around 10–11 Democratic wins reflects expectations of targeted gains in four competitive eastern districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—where recent margins were narrow and Democratic challengers are actively contesting Republican incumbents. A national generic ballot environment favoring the opposition party, combined with special election overperformance by Democrats, supports this positioning, though structural factors like district lines and candidate recruitment limit larger swings. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui11 44%
10 22%
9 15%
7 10%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<7
1%
7
10%
8
10%
9
15%
10
22%
11
44%
12+
2%
11 44%
10 22%
9 15%
7 10%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<7
$262 Vol.
1%
7
$280 Vol.
10%
8
$350 Vol.
10%
9
$451 Vol.
15%
10
$734 Vol.
22%
11
$610 Vol.
44%
12+
$284 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a narrow Republican edge entering the 2026 midterms after GOP flips in 2024, with Democrats currently holding seven seats. Trader consensus clustering around 10–11 Democratic wins reflects expectations of targeted gains in four competitive eastern districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—where recent margins were narrow and Democratic challengers are actively contesting Republican incumbents. A national generic ballot environment favoring the opposition party, combined with special election overperformance by Democrats, supports this positioning, though structural factors like district lines and candidate recruitment limit larger swings. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$2,970Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a narrow Republican edge entering the 2026 midterms after GOP flips in 2024, with Democrats currently holding seven seats. Trader consensus clustering around 10–11 Democratic wins reflects expectations of targeted gains in four competitive eastern districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—where recent margins were narrow and Democratic challengers are actively contesting Republican incumbents. A national generic ballot environment favoring the opposition party, combined with special election overperformance by Democrats, supports this positioning, though structural factors like district lines and candidate recruitment limit larger swings. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,970Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a narrow Republican edge entering the 2026 midterms after GOP flips in 2024, with Democrats currently holding seven seats. Trader consensus clustering around 10–11 Democratic wins reflects expectations of targeted gains in four competitive eastern districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—where recent margins were narrow and Democratic challengers are actively contesting Republican incumbents. A national generic ballot environment favoring the opposition party, combined with special election overperformance by Democrats, supports this positioning, though structural factors like district lines and candidate recruitment limit larger swings. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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