Higher U.S. inflation readings and surging Treasury yields have driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 85-90 percent, lifting the 10-year yield above 5 percent and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Spot XAUUSD has traded near $4,290–$4,350 per ounce in recent sessions, pressured lower by the stronger dollar and firmer real yields despite ongoing geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand. The Fed’s policy statement and Chair Warsh’s forward guidance on inflation risks represent the key near-term catalyst that could either reinforce the current headwinds or ease pressure if signals point to a more measured path ahead.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$16,665 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
↑ $4,650
3%
↑ $4,600
2%
↑ $4,550
5%
↑ $4,500
13%
↑ $4,450
23%
↑ $4,400
48%
↑ $4,350
81%
↓ $4,250
43%
↓ $4,200
19%
↓ $4,150
16%
↓ $4,100
9%
↓ $4,050
5%
↓ $4,000
4%
$16,665 Vol.
↑ $4,650
$30 Vol.
3%
↑ $4,600
$420 Vol.
2%
↑ $4,550
$118 Vol.
5%
↑ $4,500
$420 Vol.
13%
↑ $4,450
$765 Vol.
23%
↑ $4,400
$1,013 Vol.
48%
↑ $4,350
$862 Vol.
81%
↓ $4,250
$2,550 Vol.
43%
↓ $4,200
$1,753 Vol.
19%
↓ $4,150
$1,066 Vol.
16%
↓ $4,100
$876 Vol.
9%
↓ $4,050
$539 Vol.
5%
↓ $4,000
$726 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Higher U.S. inflation readings and surging Treasury yields have driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 85-90 percent, lifting the 10-year yield above 5 percent and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Spot XAUUSD has traded near $4,290–$4,350 per ounce in recent sessions, pressured lower by the stronger dollar and firmer real yields despite ongoing geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand. The Fed’s policy statement and Chair Warsh’s forward guidance on inflation risks represent the key near-term catalyst that could either reinforce the current headwinds or ease pressure if signals point to a more measured path ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$16,665Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Higher U.S. inflation readings and surging Treasury yields have driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 85-90 percent, lifting the 10-year yield above 5 percent and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Spot XAUUSD has traded near $4,290–$4,350 per ounce in recent sessions, pressured lower by the stronger dollar and firmer real yields despite ongoing geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand. The Fed’s policy statement and Chair Warsh’s forward guidance on inflation risks represent the key near-term catalyst that could either reinforce the current headwinds or ease pressure if signals point to a more measured path ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$16,665Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Higher U.S. inflation readings and surging Treasury yields have driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 85-90 percent, lifting the 10-year yield above 5 percent and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Spot XAUUSD has traded near $4,290–$4,350 per ounce in recent sessions, pressured lower by the stronger dollar and firmer real yields despite ongoing geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand. The Fed’s policy statement and Chair Warsh’s forward guidance on inflation risks represent the key near-term catalyst that could either reinforce the current headwinds or ease pressure if signals point to a more measured path ahead.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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