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Geopolitik·China

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

icon for Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Geopolitik·China

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

91% peluang
Polymarket

$219,662 Vol.

91% peluang
Polymarket

$219,662 Vol.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic engagement between the United States and China has strengthened expectations for a state visit by Xi Jinping. Following the May 2026 summit in Beijing, where President Trump hosted his counterpart and extended a formal invitation, both sides announced plans for Xi to travel to the United States in fall 2026. This timeline falls well before the 2027 cutoff and aligns with ongoing efforts to stabilize bilateral ties through reciprocal high-level meetings. Traders view the confirmed reciprocal arrangement, combined with scheduled multilateral forums such as APEC, as the primary driver behind the 90.5 percent probability for a yes outcome. No major obstacles have emerged that would likely delay or cancel the trip.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$219,662
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic engagement between the United States and China has strengthened expectations for a state visit by Xi Jinping. Following the May 2026 summit in Beijing, where President Trump hosted his counterpart and extended a formal invitation, both sides announced plans for Xi to travel to the United States in fall 2026. This timeline falls well before the 2027 cutoff and aligns with ongoing efforts to stabilize bilateral ties through reciprocal high-level meetings. Traders view the confirmed reciprocal arrangement, combined with scheduled multilateral forums such as APEC, as the primary driver behind the 90.5 percent probability for a yes outcome. No major obstacles have emerged that would likely delay or cancel the trip.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$219,662
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 91% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 91¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 91% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $219.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 13, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" adalah 91% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 91% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.