**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFrancesca Hong 45.6%
Sara Rodriguez 45%
Mandela Barnes 13%
David Crowley <1%
$95,152 Vol.
$95,152 Vol.
Francesca Hong
46%
Sara Rodriguez
45%
Mandela Barnes
13%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Francesca Hong 45.6%
Sara Rodriguez 45%
Mandela Barnes 13%
David Crowley <1%
$95,152 Vol.
$95,152 Vol.
Francesca Hong
46%
Sara Rodriguez
45%
Mandela Barnes
13%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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