Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended by parliament through August 2, 2026, prohibits presidential elections and has prolonged Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s term since its original 2024 expiration. Recent 90-day renewals of both martial law and mobilization, approved in late April, underscore the constitutional barrier to any vote or transition before the June 30, 2026 cutoff. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent reflects the absence of scheduled electoral processes, Zelenskyy’s public statements tying any poll to a ceasefire and security guarantees, and the lack of viable resignation or removal pathways amid active conflict. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough ending hostilities or an unforeseen leadership change could still open alternative timelines.