Ciro Gomes has emerged as the frontrunner in the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys placing him 12 to 15 points ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round scenarios and stronger in runoff projections. Gomes, a former governor and federal minister, formalized his PSDB pre-candidacy in mid-May, drawing on established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. Elmano, seeking reelection under the PT banner after winning in 2022, trails amid high undecided rates exceeding 80 percent in early polling. Other declared candidates, including Eduardo Girão and Camilo Santana, register minimal support, reflecting limited coalition momentum to date. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with these polling trends ahead of the August campaign launch and October first-round vote, though coalition negotiations and subsequent surveys could still shift positioning before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 4.4%
Eduardo Girão 2.8%
$55,375 Vol.
$55,375 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
67%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Camilo Santana
4%
Eduardo Girão
3%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 4.4%
Eduardo Girão 2.8%
$55,375 Vol.
$55,375 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 Vol.
67%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,344 Vol.
28%
Camilo Santana
$3,305 Vol.
4%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 Vol.
3%
Capitão Wagner
$4,204 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes has emerged as the frontrunner in the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys placing him 12 to 15 points ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round scenarios and stronger in runoff projections. Gomes, a former governor and federal minister, formalized his PSDB pre-candidacy in mid-May, drawing on established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. Elmano, seeking reelection under the PT banner after winning in 2022, trails amid high undecided rates exceeding 80 percent in early polling. Other declared candidates, including Eduardo Girão and Camilo Santana, register minimal support, reflecting limited coalition momentum to date. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with these polling trends ahead of the August campaign launch and October first-round vote, though coalition negotiations and subsequent surveys could still shift positioning before ballots are cast.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$55,375Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes has emerged as the frontrunner in the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys placing him 12 to 15 points ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round scenarios and stronger in runoff projections. Gomes, a former governor and federal minister, formalized his PSDB pre-candidacy in mid-May, drawing on established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. Elmano, seeking reelection under the PT banner after winning in 2022, trails amid high undecided rates exceeding 80 percent in early polling. Other declared candidates, including Eduardo Girão and Camilo Santana, register minimal support, reflecting limited coalition momentum to date. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with these polling trends ahead of the August campaign launch and October first-round vote, though coalition negotiations and subsequent surveys could still shift positioning before ballots are cast.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$55,375Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes has emerged as the frontrunner in the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys placing him 12 to 15 points ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round scenarios and stronger in runoff projections. Gomes, a former governor and federal minister, formalized his PSDB pre-candidacy in mid-May, drawing on established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. Elmano, seeking reelection under the PT banner after winning in 2022, trails amid high undecided rates exceeding 80 percent in early polling. Other declared candidates, including Eduardo Girão and Camilo Santana, register minimal support, reflecting limited coalition momentum to date. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with these polling trends ahead of the August campaign launch and October first-round vote, though coalition negotiations and subsequent surveys could still shift positioning before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti