**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato160-179 60%
180-199 27%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 2.9%
$1,832,687 Vol.
$1,832,687 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
11%
160-179
60%
180-199
27%
200-219
3%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 60%
180-199 27%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 2.9%
$1,832,687 Vol.
$1,832,687 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
$271,834 Vol.
11%
160-179
$155,524 Vol.
60%
180-199
$120,108 Vol.
27%
200-219
$107,796 Vol.
3%
220-239
$95,784 Vol.
1%
240-259
$127,546 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$107,908 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$91,008 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$83,049 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$43,368 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$42,323 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,832,687Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,832,687Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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