Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds an overwhelming edge in the FL-25 Democratic primary due to his established fundraising advantage, name recognition across the Boca Raton and Delray Beach areas, and record on issues such as gun safety legislation and emergency management. The August 18 primary features a direct challenge from Oliver Larkin, whose campaign recently released an internal poll showing a statistical tie within the margin of error, alongside attack ads portraying Moskowitz as insufficiently progressive. Despite this late tightening, trader consensus reflected in current pricing continues to price Moskowitz as the prohibitive favorite, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in low-turnout congressional primaries. No other declared candidates register meaningful support.