The crowded Republican primary field for Hawaii governor remains tightly contested ahead of the August 8 vote, with candidate filing closed in early June and no dominant frontrunner emerging in public polling or endorsements. Gary Cordery, Ken Fujiyama, and other listed contenders each hold comparable implied probabilities around 42-43 percent alongside a strong "Other" outcome, reflecting the fragmented voter base typical in low-turnout primaries for a party that has not seriously challenged the Democratic incumbent in recent cycles. Limited recent campaign activity, such as Cordery's ongoing virtual events, has yet to consolidate support, while the absence of major debates or fundraising surges keeps probabilities stable. Scheduled primary results could quickly shift odds if one candidate consolidates endorsements or outperforms expectations in key counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGary Cordery 43%
Ken Fujiyama 43%
Bu Laia Hill 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
Gary Cordery
43%
Ken Fujiyama
43%
Bu Laia Hill
43%
Gary Cordery 43%
Ken Fujiyama 43%
Bu Laia Hill 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
Gary Cordery
$0 Vol.
43%
Ken Fujiyama
$0 Vol.
43%
Bu Laia Hill
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The crowded Republican primary field for Hawaii governor remains tightly contested ahead of the August 8 vote, with candidate filing closed in early June and no dominant frontrunner emerging in public polling or endorsements. Gary Cordery, Ken Fujiyama, and other listed contenders each hold comparable implied probabilities around 42-43 percent alongside a strong "Other" outcome, reflecting the fragmented voter base typical in low-turnout primaries for a party that has not seriously challenged the Democratic incumbent in recent cycles. Limited recent campaign activity, such as Cordery's ongoing virtual events, has yet to consolidate support, while the absence of major debates or fundraising surges keeps probabilities stable. Scheduled primary results could quickly shift odds if one candidate consolidates endorsements or outperforms expectations in key counties.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The crowded Republican primary field for Hawaii governor remains tightly contested ahead of the August 8 vote, with candidate filing closed in early June and no dominant frontrunner emerging in public polling or endorsements. Gary Cordery, Ken Fujiyama, and other listed contenders each hold comparable implied probabilities around 42-43 percent alongside a strong "Other" outcome, reflecting the fragmented voter base typical in low-turnout primaries for a party that has not seriously challenged the Democratic incumbent in recent cycles. Limited recent campaign activity, such as Cordery's ongoing virtual events, has yet to consolidate support, while the absence of major debates or fundraising surges keeps probabilities stable. Scheduled primary results could quickly shift odds if one candidate consolidates endorsements or outperforms expectations in key counties.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$0Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded Republican primary field for Hawaii governor remains tightly contested ahead of the August 8 vote, with candidate filing closed in early June and no dominant frontrunner emerging in public polling or endorsements. Gary Cordery, Ken Fujiyama, and other listed contenders each hold comparable implied probabilities around 42-43 percent alongside a strong "Other" outcome, reflecting the fragmented voter base typical in low-turnout primaries for a party that has not seriously challenged the Democratic incumbent in recent cycles. Limited recent campaign activity, such as Cordery's ongoing virtual events, has yet to consolidate support, while the absence of major debates or fundraising surges keeps probabilities stable. Scheduled primary results could quickly shift odds if one candidate consolidates endorsements or outperforms expectations in key counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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