US military strikes on Iranian positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including reported projectiles hitting Hengam Island in mid-July 2026, have not altered territorial control amid the ongoing crisis that began with Iran's February blockade. Hengam remains integrated into Tehran's defensive network alongside nearby islands like Qeshm and Larak, with Iranian forces retaining operational presence despite US aerial and naval actions. Trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of seizure or transfer by late August, given the scale of forces required for any amphibious operation and Iran's continued assertions of sovereignty. Diplomatic proposals for joint management with Oman have stalled, and no verified developments point to imminent loss of Iranian authority over the island.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'isola di Hengam non è più sotto il controllo iraniano da...?
L'isola di Hengam non è più sotto il controllo iraniano da...?
$120,915 Vol.
31 ago 2026
31 agosto
1%
$120,915 Vol.
31 agosto
$93,367 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes on Iranian positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including reported projectiles hitting Hengam Island in mid-July 2026, have not altered territorial control amid the ongoing crisis that began with Iran's February blockade. Hengam remains integrated into Tehran's defensive network alongside nearby islands like Qeshm and Larak, with Iranian forces retaining operational presence despite US aerial and naval actions. Trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of seizure or transfer by late August, given the scale of forces required for any amphibious operation and Iran's continued assertions of sovereignty. Diplomatic proposals for joint management with Oman have stalled, and no verified developments point to imminent loss of Iranian authority over the island.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$120,915Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes on Iranian positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including reported projectiles hitting Hengam Island in mid-July 2026, have not altered territorial control amid the ongoing crisis that began with Iran's February blockade. Hengam remains integrated into Tehran's defensive network alongside nearby islands like Qeshm and Larak, with Iranian forces retaining operational presence despite US aerial and naval actions. Trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of seizure or transfer by late August, given the scale of forces required for any amphibious operation and Iran's continued assertions of sovereignty. Diplomatic proposals for joint management with Oman have stalled, and no verified developments point to imminent loss of Iranian authority over the island.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$120,915Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military strikes on Iranian positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including reported projectiles hitting Hengam Island in mid-July 2026, have not altered territorial control amid the ongoing crisis that began with Iran's February blockade. Hengam remains integrated into Tehran's defensive network alongside nearby islands like Qeshm and Larak, with Iranian forces retaining operational presence despite US aerial and naval actions. Trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of seizure or transfer by late August, given the scale of forces required for any amphibious operation and Iran's continued assertions of sovereignty. Diplomatic proposals for joint management with Oman have stalled, and no verified developments point to imminent loss of Iranian authority over the island.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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