Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara will experience mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 11, supporting a daily maximum near 31°C. This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer highs, where plateau topography and subsiding high pressure favor afternoon warming without significant moisture or frontal activity. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 30–32°C, with low precipitation risk keeping upward revisions limited. Traders have priced 31°C as the modal outcome at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus guidance while acknowledging potential for minor model adjustments closer to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara l'11 settembre?
31°C 64%
32°C 26%
30°C 13%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
64%
32°C
26%
33°C
3%
34°C o superiore
4%
31°C 64%
32°C 26%
30°C 13%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$125 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$81 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$43 Vol.
6%
30°C
$24 Vol.
13%
31°C
$383 Vol.
64%
32°C
$82 Vol.
26%
33°C
$22 Vol.
3%
34°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara will experience mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 11, supporting a daily maximum near 31°C. This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer highs, where plateau topography and subsiding high pressure favor afternoon warming without significant moisture or frontal activity. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 30–32°C, with low precipitation risk keeping upward revisions limited. Traders have priced 31°C as the modal outcome at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus guidance while acknowledging potential for minor model adjustments closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,124Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara will experience mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 11, supporting a daily maximum near 31°C. This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer highs, where plateau topography and subsiding high pressure favor afternoon warming without significant moisture or frontal activity. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 30–32°C, with low precipitation risk keeping upward revisions limited. Traders have priced 31°C as the modal outcome at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus guidance while acknowledging potential for minor model adjustments closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,124Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate Ankara will experience mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 11, supporting a daily maximum near 31°C. This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer highs, where plateau topography and subsiding high pressure favor afternoon warming without significant moisture or frontal activity. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 30–32°C, with low precipitation risk keeping upward revisions limited. Traders have priced 31°C as the modal outcome at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus guidance while acknowledging potential for minor model adjustments closer to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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