**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 16 agosto?
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 35%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
35%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 35%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
93°F or below
$343 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$227 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$800 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$936 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$919 Vol.
54%
102-103°F
$1,323 Vol.
35%
104-105°F
$381 Vol.
7%
106-107°F
$490 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$291 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$1,482 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$7,481Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,481Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti