Recent forecasts from meteorological services, including model consensus runs, project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Beijing on August 12, 2026, due to widespread rain and thundershowers that reduce solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These unsettled atmospheric conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon influences, keeping surface heating below seasonal norms where clear skies often permit highs near 30–32°C. The market's 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this robust agreement across authoritative guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation onset could allow greater insolation and push temperatures higher, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 12 agosto?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$101,306 Vol.
$101,306 Vol.
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$101,306 Vol.
$101,306 Vol.
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
$724 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,211 Vol.
No
24°C
$17,037 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,098 Vol.
No
26°C
$21,290 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,638 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$11,672 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,162 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,153 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,528 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,793 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services, including model consensus runs, project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Beijing on August 12, 2026, due to widespread rain and thundershowers that reduce solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These unsettled atmospheric conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon influences, keeping surface heating below seasonal norms where clear skies often permit highs near 30–32°C. The market's 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this robust agreement across authoritative guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation onset could allow greater insolation and push temperatures higher, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$101,306Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services, including model consensus runs, project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Beijing on August 12, 2026, due to widespread rain and thundershowers that reduce solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These unsettled atmospheric conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon influences, keeping surface heating below seasonal norms where clear skies often permit highs near 30–32°C. The market's 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this robust agreement across authoritative guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation onset could allow greater insolation and push temperatures higher, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101,306Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological services, including model consensus runs, project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Beijing on August 12, 2026, due to widespread rain and thundershowers that reduce solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These unsettled atmospheric conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon influences, keeping surface heating below seasonal norms where clear skies often permit highs near 30–32°C. The market's 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this robust agreement across authoritative guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation onset could allow greater insolation and push temperatures higher, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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