Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 12 agosto?
12°C 40%
11°C 24%
13°C 22%
14°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
6%
11°C
24%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
11°C 24%
13°C 22%
14°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
9°C or below
$195 Vol.
4%
10°C
$450 Vol.
6%
11°C
$1,706 Vol.
24%
12°C
$1,781 Vol.
40%
13°C
$299 Vol.
22%
14°C
$247 Vol.
7%
15°C
$141 Vol.
1%
16°C
$290 Vol.
1%
17°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,716Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,716Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti